{"id":59779,"date":"2026-07-02T09:15:35","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T07:15:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/?p=59779"},"modified":"2026-07-02T09:54:58","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T07:54:58","slug":"en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/da\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/","title":{"rendered":"En aftale er underskrevet, men tankmarkedet er allerede forandret"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"A\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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USA-Iran-aftalen udg\u00f8r begyndelsen p\u00e5 en normaliseringsproces \u2013 ikke afslutningen. De strukturelle \u00e6ndringer i de globale r\u00e5oliestr\u00f8mme forventes derfor at gavne eftersp\u00f8rgslen p\u00e5 tankskibe l\u00e6nge efter Hormuzstr\u00e6dets gen\u00e5bning<\/h4>

Den st\u00f8rste oml\u00e6gning af den globale r\u00e5oliehandel i moderne tid g\u00e5r ind i en ny fase
<\/strong>Det aftalememorandum, som USA og Iran underskrev den 18. juni, er den hidtil mest realistiske vej mod en gen\u00e5bning af Hormuzstr\u00e6det, siden konflikten begyndte. Oliemarkedet reagerede hurtigt, og Brent-r\u00e5olie faldt ved udgangen af juni til omkring USD 71 pr. t\u00f8nde og n\u00e5ede dermed tilbage p\u00e5 niveauet f\u00f8r konflikten. Tankmarkedet er dog allerede grundl\u00e6ggende forandret efter fire m\u00e5neders omfattende forstyrrelser. Saudi-Arabien har omlagt eksporten af r\u00e5olie via \u00f8st\/vest-r\u00f8rledningen til R\u00f8dehavshavnen Yanbu, hvor Det Internationale Energiagentur (IEA) oplyser, at lastningerne steg fra omkring 2 mio. t\u00f8nder om dagen f\u00f8r konflikten til mere end 5 mio. t\u00f8nder om dagen i begyndelsen af juni. Samtidig \u00f8gede De Forenede Arabiske Emirater eksporten via Fujairah, der g\u00e5r uden om Hormuzstr\u00e6det ved hj\u00e6lp af Habshan-Fujairah-r\u00f8rledningen.<\/p>

If\u00f8lge IEA steg den samlede amerikanske eksport af r\u00e5olie og olieprodukter til rekordh\u00f8je 13,1 mio. t\u00f8nder om dagen i maj \u2013 n\u00e6sten 25% h\u00f8jere end \u00e5ret f\u00f8r. Ogs\u00e5 eksporten fra Brasilien og Venezuela er steget markant. Disse alternative forsyningsruter medf\u00f8rer l\u00e6ngere sejladser og flere ton-mil pr. transporteret t\u00f8nde olie. Derfor l\u00e5 indtjeningen i tanksegmentet fortsat p\u00e5 omkring USD 66.000 pr. dag ved udgangen af juni \u2013 omtrent tre gange h\u00f8jere end det langsigtede gennemsnit \u2013 selv nu, hvor Hormuzstr\u00e6det gradvist gen\u00e5bnes.<\/p>

Genopbygning af lagre \u2013 ikke fragtrater \u2013 bliver den vigtigste faktor i andet halv\u00e5r af 2026
<\/strong>For investorer er det vigtigste sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5l, hvad der herfra sker. If\u00f8lge IEA er de offentlige olielagre i OECD-landene faldet til det laveste niveau siden december 1990, mens de kendte globale olielagre siden konfliktens begyndelse i gennemsnit er svundet med 3,8 mio. t\u00f8nder om dagen. Genopbygning af disse lagre vil kr\u00e6ve vedvarende s\u00f8transport af r\u00e5olie i de kommende m\u00e5neder, samtidig med at produktionen i Golfen gradvist vender tilbage.<\/p>

Clarksons oplyser, at antallet af bestillinger p\u00e5 nye VLCC-skibe i 2026 er n\u00e5et op p\u00e5 143 \u2013 det h\u00f8jeste \u00e5rlige niveau siden 1973. Det afspejler en forventning p\u00e5 markedet om, at den st\u00e6rke eftersp\u00f8rgsel vil forts\u00e6tte. IEA’s f\u00f8rste prognose for balancen i 2027 tyder p\u00e5 en stigning i udbuddet p\u00e5 omkring 8 mio. t\u00f8nder om dagen, hvilket p\u00e5 l\u00e6ngere sigt kan reducere behovet for lange transporter m\u00e5lt i ton-mil, men p\u00e5 kort sigt skaber genopbygningen af olielagrene et solidt fundament under indtjeningen p\u00e5 tankmarkedet.<\/p>

Det afg\u00f8rende sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5l er ikke l\u00e6ngere, hvor h\u00f8jt fragtraterne kan stige, men hvor lang tid normaliseringen vil tage. Alt tyder p\u00e5, at processen vil str\u00e6kke sig over m\u00e5neder \u2013 m\u00e5ske kvartaler \u2013 og ikke uger.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Kilder: Clarksons Research, CNBC, IEA, Reuters<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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USA-Iran-aftalen udg\u00f8r begyndelsen p\u00e5 en normaliseringsproces \u2013 ikke afslutningen. De strukturelle \u00e6ndringer i de globale r\u00e5oliestr\u00f8mme forventes derfor at gavne eftersp\u00f8rgslen p\u00e5 tankskibe l\u00e6nge efter Hormuzstr\u00e6dets gen\u00e5bning Den st\u00f8rste oml\u00e6gning af den globale r\u00e5oliehandel i moderne tid g\u00e5r ind i en ny fase Det aftalememorandum, som USA og Iran underskrev den 18. juni, er den […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[68,81],"tags":[],"post_folder":[71,13],"class_list":["post-59779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","category-monthly-da"],"yoast_head":"\nEn aftale er underskrevet, men tankmarkedet er allerede forandret - European Maritime Finance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/da\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"da_DK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"En aftale er underskrevet, men tankmarkedet er allerede forandret - European Maritime Finance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"USA-Iran-aftalen udg\u00f8r begyndelsen p\u00e5 en normaliseringsproces \u2013 ikke afslutningen. De strukturelle \u00e6ndringer i de globale r\u00e5oliestr\u00f8mme forventes derfor at gavne eftersp\u00f8rgslen p\u00e5 tankskibe l\u00e6nge efter Hormuzstr\u00e6dets gen\u00e5bning Den st\u00f8rste oml\u00e6gning af den globale r\u00e5oliehandel i moderne tid g\u00e5r ind i en ny fase Det aftalememorandum, som USA og Iran underskrev den 18. juni, er den […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/da\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"European Maritime Finance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-02T07:15:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-02T07:54:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/M6_26_article_1_cropped.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"400\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Motor Agency\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skrevet af\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Motor Agency\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimeret l\u00e6setid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutter\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Motor Agency\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/#\/schema\/person\/8f783acd5b7e9840e3947f3a2abec3e7\"},\"headline\":\"En aftale er underskrevet, men tankmarkedet er allerede forandret\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-07-02T07:15:35+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-07-02T07:54:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/\"},\"wordCount\":505,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/M6_26_article_1_cropped.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Market news\",\"Monthly Da\"],\"inLanguage\":\"da-DK\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/en-aftale-er-underskrevet-men-tankmarkedet-er-allerede-forandret\/\",\"name\":\"En aftale er underskrevet, men tankmarkedet er allerede forandret - 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