{"id":61924,"date":"2026-10-23T11:34:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-23T09:34:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/?p=61924"},"modified":"2026-10-23T11:35:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T09:35:06","slug":"skibsvaerdier-og-perioderater-forbliver-hoje-trods-faldende-indtjening-i-spotmarkedet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/da\/skibsvaerdier-og-perioderater-forbliver-hoje-trods-faldende-indtjening-i-spotmarkedet\/","title":{"rendered":"Skibsv\u00e6rdier og perioderater forbliver h\u00f8je trods faldende indtjening i spotmarkedet"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Angrebene omkring Hormuzstr\u00e6det og den begr\u00e6nsede skibskapacitet f\u00e5r fortsat befragterne til at sikre sig tonnage p\u00e5 l\u00e6ngerevarende kontrakter.<\/h5>

Tankskibe: Skibsv\u00e6rdierne for Suezmax og Aframax stiger yderligere trods faldende spotindtjening<\/strong><\/p>

Den gennemsnitlige indtjening i tankmarkedet faldt med 4 % fra ugen f\u00f8r til omkring USD 295.000 pr. dag, hvilket fortsat er t\u00e6t p\u00e5 de seneste rekordniveauer. Olieeksporten fra Golfen og forsinkelser ved skib-til-skib-overf\u00f8rsler (STS) l\u00e6gger fortsat beslag p\u00e5 en betydelig del af tankfl\u00e5dens kapacitet. De et\u00e5rige Time Charter-rater ligger nu p\u00e5 omkring USD 180.000 pr. dag for Suezmax og USD 100.000 pr. dag for Aframax, sammenlignet med gennemsnitlige niveauer under USD 40.000 pr. dag i 2025. Samtidig er v\u00e6rdien af fem \u00e5r gamle Suezmax-skibe steget til omkring USD 145 mio., mens tilsvarende Aframax-skibe nu vurderes til omkring USD 95 mio. Ved udgangen af 2025 l\u00e5 v\u00e6rdierne p\u00e5 henholdsvis USD 80 mio. og USD 68 mio. Omkring 70 % af de bestilte Suezmax-skibe forventes f\u00f8rst leveret i 2028 eller senere. Det begr\u00e6nser v\u00e6ksten i den tilg\u00e6ngelige fl\u00e5de p\u00e5 kort sigt og kan v\u00e6re med til at underst\u00f8tte de h\u00f8je fragtrater gennem 2027.<\/p>

LPG\/VLGC: Et\u00e5rige Time Charter-rater overstiger USD 100.000 pr. dag som f\u00f8lge af begr\u00e6nset skibskapacitet<\/strong><\/p>

Indtjeningen for VLGC-skibe p\u00e5 ruten fra Den Mexicanske Golf til Japan faldt en smule til omkring USD 200.000 pr. dag, hvilket fortsat er t\u00e6t p\u00e5 rekordniveauet fra ugen f\u00f8r. Forstyrrelserne i LPG-eksporten fra Mellem\u00f8sten betyder, at asiatiske import\u00f8rer fortsat er afh\u00e6ngige af leverancer fra USA. De l\u00e6ngere sejlruter l\u00e6gger beslag p\u00e5 en st\u00f8rre del af den eksisterende fl\u00e5de og reducerer dermed den tilg\u00e6ngelige kapacitet. De et\u00e5rige Time Charter-rater for moderne VLGC-skibe er steget til omkring USD 110.000 pr. dag mod et gennemsnit p\u00e5 USD 42.000 pr. dag i 2025. Samtidig er 10\u201312 \u00e5r gamle VLGC-skibe for nylig blevet handlet til mellem USD 95 og 110 mio., hvilket bringer priserne t\u00e6t p\u00e5 niveauet for nybygninger. Den v\u00e6sentligste usikkerhed for markedet er den kommende tilgang af nye skibe. I 2027 forventes leverancer svarende til omkring 11 % af den eksisterende fl\u00e5de, hvilket kan \u00f8ge den tilg\u00e6ngelige kapacitet og l\u00e6gge pres p\u00e5 fragtraterne.<\/p>

PCTC: Stigende kinesisk bileksport fastholder Time Charter-rater omkring USD 95.000 pr. dag<\/strong><\/p>

Time Charter-raterne for PCTC-skibe med en kapacitet p\u00e5 6.500 CEU ligger fortsat p\u00e5 omkring USD 95.000 pr. dag, hvilket er n\u00e6sten dobbelt s\u00e5 h\u00f8jt som gennemsnittet for 2025. Den kinesiske bileksport steg med 61 % i september sammenlignet med samme m\u00e5ned sidste \u00e5r og n\u00e5ede 1,05 mio. biler. Den samlede eksport i \u00e5rets f\u00f8rste ni m\u00e5neder overstiger dermed allerede eksporten for hele 2025. En v\u00e6sentlig udvikling er, at EU og Kina er n\u00e5et til en forst\u00e5else om at begr\u00e6nse den kinesiske eksport af hybridbiler til EU til omkring 350.000 biler \u00e5rligt. Til sammenligning var der ventet en eksport p\u00e5 op til 800.000 biler i 2026. En s\u00e5dan begr\u00e6nsning kan reducere transportm\u00e6ngderne p\u00e5 de lange sejlruter mellem Kina og Europa. Investorer b\u00f8r derfor f\u00f8lge, hvorn\u00e5r aftalen tr\u00e6der i kraft, og i hvilket omfang kinesiske bilproducenter kan finde alternative eksportmarkeder for de biler, der ellers var bestemt til EU.<\/p>

Geopolitik: Olieeksporten fra Golfen overstiger niveauet f\u00f8r krigen trods de hidtil kraftigste angreb<\/strong><\/p>

Olieeksporten fra Mellem\u00f8sten, inklusive leverancer via r\u00f8rledninger, l\u00e5 i sidste uge i gennemsnit p\u00e5 over 24 mio. t\u00f8nder dagligt. Det er h\u00f8jere end niveauet p\u00e5 23,3 mio. t\u00f8nder f\u00f8r krigen, if\u00f8lge Kpler. Stigningen sker p\u00e5 trods af omfattende angreb p\u00e5 skibsfarten, hvor 24 skibe blev beskadiget i f\u00f8rste halvdel af oktober. Den \u00f8gede olieeksport forventes dog ikke at sv\u00e6kke eftersp\u00f8rgslen efter tankskibe. De globale olielagre ligger fortsat omkring 509 mio. t\u00f8nder under niveauet f\u00f8r krigen, og en gradvis genopbygning af lagrene forventes at absorbere en betydelig del af det ekstra udbud ind i 2027. USA kan komme til at lempe sanktionerne mod tankskibe i den s\u00e5kaldte skyggefl\u00e5de. Det ventes dog kun at tilf\u00f8re begr\u00e6nset ekstra kapacitet til markedet, da st\u00f8rstedelen af disse skibe allerede er aktive. En aftale om at gen\u00e5bne Hormuzstr\u00e6det vil reducere risikotill\u00e6gget i fragtraterne og frig\u00f8re den tankkapacitet, som skib-til-skib-overf\u00f8rsler i dag l\u00e6gger beslag p\u00e5, hvilket kan s\u00e6nke indtjeningen. Omvendt vil en yderligere eskalering holde udbuddet af skibe stramt og underst\u00f8tte raterne.<\/p>

Kilder: BRS Shipbrokers, CAAM, Clarksons, IEA, Kpler, MB Shipbrokers og Reuters<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Angrebene omkring Hormuzstr\u00e6det og den begr\u00e6nsede skibskapacitet f\u00e5r fortsat befragterne til at sikre sig tonnage p\u00e5 l\u00e6ngerevarende kontrakter. Tankskibe: Skibsv\u00e6rdierne for Suezmax og Aframax stiger yderligere trods faldende spotindtjening Den gennemsnitlige indtjening i tankmarkedet faldt med 4 % fra ugen f\u00f8r til omkring USD 295.000 pr. dag, hvilket fortsat er t\u00e6t p\u00e5 de seneste rekordniveauer. […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[67,68],"tags":[],"post_folder":[71,13],"class_list":["post-61924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-da","category-market-news"],"yoast_head":"\nSkibsv\u00e6rdier og perioderater forbliver h\u00f8je trods faldende indtjening i spotmarkedet - European Maritime Finance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/da\/skibsvaerdier-og-perioderater-forbliver-hoje-trods-faldende-indtjening-i-spotmarkedet\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"da_DK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Skibsv\u00e6rdier og perioderater forbliver h\u00f8je trods faldende indtjening i spotmarkedet - European Maritime Finance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Angrebene omkring Hormuzstr\u00e6det og den begr\u00e6nsede skibskapacitet f\u00e5r fortsat befragterne til at sikre sig tonnage p\u00e5 l\u00e6ngerevarende kontrakter. Tankskibe: Skibsv\u00e6rdierne for Suezmax og Aframax stiger yderligere trods faldende spotindtjening Den gennemsnitlige indtjening i tankmarkedet faldt med 4 % fra ugen f\u00f8r til omkring USD 295.000 pr. dag, hvilket fortsat er t\u00e6t p\u00e5 de seneste rekordniveauer. 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Tankskibe: Skibsv\u00e6rdierne for Suezmax og Aframax stiger yderligere trods faldende spotindtjening Den gennemsnitlige indtjening i tankmarkedet faldt med 4 % fra ugen f\u00f8r til omkring USD 295.000 pr. dag, hvilket fortsat er t\u00e6t p\u00e5 de seneste rekordniveauer. 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