{"id":62014,"date":"2026-10-30T13:14:54","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T12:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/?p=62014"},"modified":"2026-10-30T13:16:36","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T12:16:36","slug":"shippinginntjeningen-holder-seg-pa-hoye-nivaer-samtidig-som-angrep-truer-eksport-rutene-i-gulfen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/da\/shippinginntjeningen-holder-seg-pa-hoye-nivaer-samtidig-som-angrep-truer-eksport-rutene-i-gulfen\/","title":{"rendered":"Shippinginntjeningen holder seg p\u00e5 h\u00f8ye niv\u00e5er samtidig som angrep truer eksport rutene i Gulfen"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rekordh\u00f8y LR2-inntjening og et sterkere Aframax-marked st\u00e5r i kontrast til svakere rater for Suezmax og VLGC, mens kinesisk bilsalg bidrar til \u00e5 opprettholde ettersp\u00f8rselen etter bilskip.\u00a0<\/h5>

Tankmarkedet: Aframax-inntjeningen stiger samtidig som LR2-raten setter ny rekord<\/strong>\u00a0
Gjennomsnittlig inntjening forrige uke var rundt USD 667 000 per dag for Suezmax og USD 359 000 per dag for Aframax. Gjennomsnittet for 2025 var henholdsvis rundt USD 58 000 og USD 46 000 per dag. To forhold bidrar til den sterke inntjeningen. For det f\u00f8rste binder shuttletrafikk og omlasting mellom skip i Midt\u00f8sten opp en betydelig del av fl\u00e5ten. For det andre f\u00f8rer sv\u00e6rt h\u00f8ye fraktrater for VLCC-er til at r\u00e5oljelaster flyttes fra VLCC-er til mindre tankskip (se Ukens tema). 1-\u00e5rs TC-rater for Suezmax l\u00e5 forrige uke p\u00e5 rundt USD 170 000 per dag, mot et gjennomsnitt p\u00e5 USD 38 000 per dag i 2025. Fraktfutures for Suezmax-ruten fra Vest-Afrika til Nordvest-Europa priser 2027 til rundt USD 84 000 per dag. Dette viser at markedet forventer lavere inntjening fremover, men fortsatt p\u00e5 niv\u00e5er over 2025.\u00a0<\/p>

LPG\/VLGC: Spotinntjeningen avtar, men f\u00e5r ny fart mot slutten av uken<\/strong>\u00a0
Spotinntjeningen for VLGC p\u00e5 ruten mellom US Gulf og Japan falt 9 % fra uken f\u00f8r til rundt USD 185 000 per dag. En slutning under markedsforventningene og en mindre prisforskjell p\u00e5 LPG mellom USA og Asia la f\u00f8rst press p\u00e5 fraktratene. Senere \u00f8kte prisforskjellen igjen, og ratene hentet seg inn til USD 315 per tonn p\u00e5 ruten Houston\u2013Chiba. Ett\u00e5rige timechartervurderinger for moderne VLGC-er ligger p\u00e5 rundt USD 108 000 per dag, sammenlignet med et gjennomsnitt p\u00e5 USD 42 000 i 2025. Tilf\u00f8rselen av nye skip utgj\u00f8r fortsatt en langsiktig risiko: Det er s\u00e5 langt i 2026 bestilt 133 skip innen LPG-segmentet, mot 62 gjennom hele 2025. Samtidig er rundt 64 % av kapasiteten i ordreboken for VLGC og VLAC planlagt levert i 2028 eller senere.\u00a0<\/p>




PCTC: Kinesiske bilmerker vinner terreng i Europa, mens charterratene holder seg stabile<\/strong>\u00a0
Salget av biler fra kinesiske bilmerker i Europa \u00f8kte med 104 % fra \u00e5ret f\u00f8r i september, if\u00f8lge forel\u00f8pige tall fra Dataforce. Det ga kinesiske merker en rekordh\u00f8y markedsandel p\u00e5 14,5 % av det europeiske bilmarkedet. Kinesiske produsenter produserer fortsatt de fleste av disse bilene i Kina, og \u00f8kt salg bidrar derfor til h\u00f8yere ettersp\u00f8rsel etter bilskip p\u00e5 langdistanseruten fra Kina til Europa. Timecharterrater for bilskip med kapasitet p\u00e5 6 500 CEU ligger fortsatt p\u00e5 USD 95 000 per dag. Det er uendret fra september og opp fra USD 80 000 per dag i juli. P\u00e5 lengre sikt er lokal produksjon i Europa den viktigste risikoen for denne ettersp\u00f8rselen. BYD starter montering ved sitt f\u00f8rste europeiske anlegg i Ungarn i fjerde kvartal 2026, mens Chery forventer at joint venture-anlegget i Barcelona starter produksjonen i 2026. Biler produsert i Europa trenger ikke sj\u00f8transport over lange distanser, og lokal produksjon vil derfor kunne redusere langdistansevolumene for bilskip.\u00a0<\/p>

Geopolitikk: \u00d8kt sikkerhetsrisiko rundt Hormuz p\u00e5virker eksportstr\u00f8mmene<\/strong>
Forrige uke rettet Houthi-bevegelsen angrep mot Saudi-Arabias havn Yanbu og oljefeltet Shaybah. Dette har skapt bekymring for infrastrukturen som er n\u00f8dvendig for \u00e5 opprettholde oljeeksporten. Yanbu er endestasjonen ved R\u00f8dehavet for Saudi-Arabias East-West-r\u00f8rledning og landets viktigste eksportvei for r\u00e5olje utenom Hormuzstredet. Iran angrep ogs\u00e5 minst \u00e5tte svartelistede tankskip mellom 16. og 23. oktober, selv om skipene ikke var i ferd med \u00e5 passere stredet. Dette f\u00f8lger etter Irans advarsel 11. oktober om at skip involvert i shuttletrafikk kunne bli angrepet uansett hvor de befant seg. Siden starten av oktober har shuttletrafikk st\u00e5tt for rundt 70 % av de identifiserte utg\u00e5ende r\u00e5oljebevegelsene gjennom Hormuz. Ytterligere angrep p\u00e5 disse skipene kan redusere tilgjengelig tonnasje og st\u00f8tte fraktratene, men langvarige forstyrrelser kan ogs\u00e5 f\u00f8re til lavere lastevolumer. Brent-oljen endte forrige uke n\u00e6r USD 117 per fat, mer enn 20 % over gjennomsnittet i september, selv om r\u00e5oljeeksporten fra Midt\u00f8sten ligger n\u00e6r niv\u00e5ene f\u00f8r konflikten. Dette viser at oljeprisen reflekterer risikoen for ytterligere forsyningsforstyrrelser. Den st\u00f8rste nedsiderisikoen for tankmarkedet er en de-eskalering av konflikten, som vil redusere risikopremien i fraktratene og frigj\u00f8re tilgjengelig tonnasje.\u00a0<\/p>

Kilder: Baltic Exchange, BRS Shipbrokers, Clarksons & TradeWinds<\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rekordh\u00f8y LR2-inntjening og et sterkere Aframax-marked st\u00e5r i kontrast til svakere rater for Suezmax og VLGC, mens kinesisk bilsalg bidrar til \u00e5 opprettholde ettersp\u00f8rselen etter bilskip.\u00a0 Tankmarkedet: Aframax-inntjeningen stiger samtidig som LR2-raten setter ny rekord\u00a0Gjennomsnittlig inntjening forrige uke var rundt USD 667 000 per dag for Suezmax og USD 359 000 per dag for Aframax. […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[68,69],"tags":[],"post_folder":[13,72],"class_list":["post-62014","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","category-no"],"yoast_head":"\nShippinginntjeningen holder seg p\u00e5 h\u00f8ye niv\u00e5er samtidig som angrep truer eksport rutene i Gulfen - European Maritime Finance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/maritimefinance.eu\/da\/shippinginntjeningen-holder-seg-pa-hoye-nivaer-samtidig-som-angrep-truer-eksport-rutene-i-gulfen\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"da_DK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Shippinginntjeningen holder seg p\u00e5 h\u00f8ye niv\u00e5er samtidig som angrep truer eksport rutene i Gulfen - European Maritime Finance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Rekordh\u00f8y LR2-inntjening og et sterkere Aframax-marked st\u00e5r i kontrast til svakere rater for Suezmax og VLGC, mens kinesisk bilsalg bidrar til \u00e5 opprettholde ettersp\u00f8rselen etter bilskip.\u00a0 Tankmarkedet: Aframax-inntjeningen stiger samtidig som LR2-raten setter ny rekord\u00a0Gjennomsnittlig inntjening forrige uke var rundt USD 667 000 per dag for Suezmax og USD 359 000 per dag for Aframax. 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